Oh Shoot

TN average daily deaths (updated 2PM daily): March (over last 11 days of month starting 3/21 with first death) 2.0 April 5.8 May 5.3 June 8.0 July 14.7 Aug through 8/11 : 19.1 - OS

Pix much too small res for accurate id. - OS

Holy crap, blew that way out of the water today with 42. - OS

Highest number of TN deaths today since the start: 27 Running at 16.8/day through first five days of Aug. - OS

COVID-19 outbreak in Amish community in Loudonville area https://fox8.com/news/coronavirus/covid-19-outbreak-in-amish-community-in-loudonville-area/

TN average daily deaths (updated 2PM daily): March (over last 11 days of month starting 3/21 with first death) 2.0 April 5.8 May 5.3 June 8.0 July 14.7

Yes, she's particularly impressive, who Trump called "spectacular". I'm really impressed by her assertion that astral demons cause many physical problems by screwing women in their sleep and that many of our leaders are reptilian blends of human and alien DNA,. Meanwhile, now that we are in the 21 hot spot states, Brix visited TN in person Monday to plead with Lee to institute some sane responses known to be effective, but of course he blew her off. - OS

So, if Covid killed an equal number of folks in all age groups including those in otherwise good health, it would be worth getting serious about? Did you apply to work on the ObamaCare Death Panel? - OS

TN average daily deaths (updated 2PM daily): March (over last 11 days of month starting 3/21 with first death) 2.0 April 5.8 May 5.3 June 8.0 July (thru 23rd) : 13.9

Well, 23 new Covid deaths, kicks up TN daily death rate to an even 13 for the month. - OS

I think the ribs are decent enough, just overpriced of course. I actually don't know of any great Knoxville BBQ anymore? Scruggs was my last go-to for 30 years or so, but closed about 5 years ago or more. (apologies for continuing the thread derailment, I'll stop, fishing and BBQ should have their own threads ) - OS

Yeah, folks have been feeding them since the place opened. I think the management started doing it originally as sort of an attraction. - OS

10/11 lbs I reckon. Biggest so far around 15. Heck, I don't think I've caught one at all under maybe 4 lbs. Only reason I got the pic was young lass happing to pass by took it with her iPhone and emailed it to me. Was thinking about that the other day, and honestly, I've never actually caught or or even seen a "baby" carp, or even one in the 1-2 lb range, kinda strange that. About a month ago, was fishing from the floating TN Navy docks and heard much ado down the way from the UT rowing club access, saw a boat pull in there and whatnot. Later on I went by there and sure enough a guy had caught a huge carp, had flagged a boat down to help as no way to lift it out of the water (about a 5' drop from the fishing platform), said the guys in boat had a 50lb scale and it pegged it out, etc. His gal had some good pix of her holding it, and sure enough it looked like a damn grouper or something, half the size of her! I think it was likely a Big Head carp but not positive. TN record for common carp is only 53 lb, but 90 for the Big Head (which is world record also). If it was actually a common, they may well have thrown back a state record! (apologies for the thread derail, should have been in fishing section I reckon) - OS

Well, I'm often walking 4.5-7 miles round trip (half the benefit of doing it at all), so lugging even a light kayak is a bit out of the question. But I agree, a kayak is a great way to do it without all the fuss of boat/trailer, and if fishing should turn back into a main passion I would consider that. - OS

Anymore, really just bottom fishing, which means 99.2% carp in the stretches of river I can reach on foot. I started in late April at tail end of the spring stripe run, but after that, beat the water to death for bass, crappie, even a mess of bream, pretty much nada. So just settled into bottom fishing, which except for a couple of decent cats has been all El Carpo. Not even drum, which I kinda expected to in the mix. But it's cool with me, sit on the river bank, listen to stories on my Sansa (currently Saki and O Henry), catch a few big uns - 5-15 pounders of any species is still pretty groovy. - OS

As far as the first question, I'd have to do some actuarial digging, which I'm not inclined to do right now, so why don't you? The rest, can't debate the unknowables bro. Just using the TN Dept of Health daily stats and dividing by days; I periodically keep annotating that one stat that as deaths/day doesn't seem to be something they publish. Since I already evolved into semi-monkhood in my geezery, prolly abiding better than the average, as has changed my life much less than most I'd posit. Since many of the excuses for walks have vanished (I need a mission to prompt me to do it), started spending time wetting a line on the river, have turned into quite the consummate CarpMeister these days. - OS

TN average daily deaths (updated 2PM daily): March (over last 11 days of month starting 3/21 with first death) 2.0 April 5.8 May 5.3 June 8.0 July (thru 17th) 12.4 - OS

DeSantis has played games off and on with reporting since their first death down there. Public info lawsuits have been filed to try and pry out stats from FL nursing homes, which for some reason he's held particularly close to the vest from the gitgo. I guess because most old folks vote. He's just trying to be a good Trumpie. So are several others, like Kemp in GA, who just nixed the power of individual towns/counties to enact mask wear directives and such. - OS

There are two types of tests. Viral test: people who have active case test positive, then later negative when they've kicked it. Antibody test: Detected from a past case, and from an active case also, if the antibody levels have already built up enough to register. The relative accuracy of the viral test seems the more problematic regarding both false positives and negatives. - OS

??? We DO have flu vaccines. About 50-75% effective each year, depending. I wouldn't expect a Covid vaccine to do any better than that at least initially. Maybe over time it would due to better refinement, IF the virus doesn't mutate like the influenza strains do. Of course, wait for the AntiVax movement to get cranking also. After all, we're already being mind controlled by the many decades of fluoride in the water, right? Looking like maybe not, as current indications are that folks are getting infected more than once. Seems that the antibodies from having a case may not be particularly long lived and/or vary according to severity of the case. Even if so, herd immunity would take about a 70% infection saturation, which will mean many millions of deaths just in US. - OS

TN average daily deaths: March (over last 11 days of month starting 3/21 with first death) 2.0 April 5.8 May 5.3 June 8.0 July (over first 9 days) 11.7 - OS

Class E felony with fine doubled, in addition to the robbery charge. -OS

Don't stick up a gas station with a switchblade either, use a Bowie instead. - OS

I see those stats as a relative measure of success due to Tennessee's overall response thus far. Even so, at current practices, IHME is predicting about 2.5x increase in deaths through Sept. At which point we might well see the second game of the double header begin. Wry, but fatuous. The masks to some extent protect the wearer of course (would you rather be misted with or without one?), but their prime effectiveness is as a prophylactic, to protect others, particularly by limiting the transmission from the asymptomatically infected. But altruism is not among our strongest virtues as a species. - OS

Hell, NYC alone has bigger pop than all of TN. Few if any places will likely see the death numbers that occurred there. It's all just a matter of scale, and what numbers the different states decide is horrendous enough to take whatever actions. Lee has just extended TN state of emergency rules/suggestions to end of August, for example. Pretty toothless enforcement though. https://www.tn.gov/governor/news/2020/6/29/gov--lee-extends-state-of-emergency-to-aug--29--2020.html - OS